ࡱ> bk  !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`adefghijRF&zcBook ԾSummaryInformation( DocumentSummaryInformation83\ \pScott Douglass B'Sheet1l Tsolver_adj)Q;;:/:B solver_lin solver_num* solver_opt: solver_typ solver_val=$ @?@@@ @"@correl'VȒ?QeQeQA3  7,1,12*e?D%4 V @D+&Q@Ivh$@D Day 1J,L @4D1DDDDDD$² @3.$LLD-D-D rc @" ; @  uA @ (< @  (d?@36@ R^2QI'?D  1,1,72*e?RD%4 V @CD:PjN@Ivh$@D Laterf @ D1Gg|@C.$LLD*D*D R@ N @C B[v @  JF @ oE@ ]@    warm-up derements   dev data  model  data model 1,1,30 7,1,1 1,1,71,1,30 7,1,1 1,1,7 1,1,30  7,1,1  1,1,7 1,1,30 7,1,1 1,1,71,1,30 7,1,1 1,1,7 dfM? LLBi?  LL M? 1 end!(@ % B!efffff&@ % B!DDDDDD"@ % B!  QB)@ % B! )ɦJ%@ % B! a>#@" % B @DDDDD@   LLhfffff@ $"""""@ :]@ψ?  G @ P;.L?  *@G+?M2L? 2 start!.@ %"$B!.@ %"$B!&@ %"$B! 9\+@ %"$B! `7)G,@" %"$B! m %@- %"$B   -2\97?  Ԉ ?  oHH ?  2 end! $@  %.0B! #"""""@  %.0B! 333333 @  %.0B!  ͳ!@. %.0B! L:װ @. %.0B! Aܬ<@ %.0B hfffff@   LL    PUUUUU   @]=V?    gU?   )y?  ! j3@ %  m(!"@  Y;?  _X?  3 start! (@ %35B! #"""""@  %35B! @  %35B! 倂"@ %35B! :v;!@3 %35B! Kz( @> %35B  ! fI"?  D A Cu?  @i1?  Bk?  3 end! !""""" @  %?AB! DDDDDD@  %?AB! @  %?AB! oBE@? %?AB! ,@? %?AB! OZ@ %?AB ("""""@    LL @DDDDD?   ?   p@   `@ ?   ȕq:?   c?  0yp|:?  Y&uN?  4 start! '@  %CEB! @  %CEB! gfffff@  %CEB! P*(@ %CEB! ]@ %CEB! ]v@ %CEB     correl' ѩe(? e e A3  Next DayɎH@1*D'eTJ?e e A3   Day 1 Total data data data Day pred pred pred dev dev dev1,1,30 7,1,1 1,1,7?@@ 4,6 7,9  10,12  13,15  16,18  19,21  22,24 25,27 28,30 31,33 34,36 37,40Srength1,1,30 7,1,1 1,1,71,1,30 7,1,1 1,1,7?E@<@@@@?  LDE@5 +LDLD-FMF@ DLD6;A@ DLD~>@ DLDybY@ LLau&@ LL6ئeY@ LL@@@d@no&*8M?? LDy@¦lB@z*=@I:@$d<@}5??@>@@@r).?no&*8M??  LDܨ`$o @5BH)@@ il):@$n6@upԉ@_pZM?*w@@0@С@p@Ďv=?݋D!?r).?7&? DDL{@`V:@`{E5@(+_83@JLH@GK?4~B? @7@@/@Qcp?WB9?FW*?ne? LD7&? D x@>#]X6@VE2@ic0@y??֙$h?:S?&@@@@,@=Z? dI?on_?J??ne?  LD 7&?   LPS@MR4@m40@Kz-@ۨly@XuYs? gXd~?,@`@`@@/?sXϬ?}- ?F\?J??  ne?   7&?   L@6`Yq2@=?.@<Ü.+@'%0{. @w9;?@M?1@@+@8@A?|/-P2?,a0:? f"aG?F\?  J??   ne?   7&?   L D@o* 1@Q,@L)@?-?p-#F?4@@8@(@8]?*⥨\?eEf?r6? f"aG?  F\?   J??   ne?   7&?   L"L\w@0 /@X!P*@7xH'@ X>??[+?8ǫ){?7@Ж@`@'@?Ŗ?J5?jԅ)?r6?   f"aG?   F\?   J??   ne?   7&?D {g@ ..@.=)@c&@k<}\?[d?v }?:@0@`@@yGr?uZg?ktr?y du?jԅ)?  r6?    f"aG?   F\?   J??   ne?D 7&?D B @űA/,@V5(@D^G%@H3[ʞ?!HXd@?pl?=@+@8@@$=&?iVE3??uK&?y du?  jԅ)?   r6?    f"aG?   F\?   J??D ne?D 7&?DuU!@i8U+@#)'@{t$@r;g?C>?E+ƙ?@@@@@7J0u ?/Le? c%?.I2?uK&? y du?  jԅ)?  r6?   f"aG?  F\?D J??D ne?D7&?Dx@"@ *@x׹Y&@F.$@t%J?8XC?rP?A@(@@#@q ?5c?j_ɵ?R/?.I2?  uK&?   y du?   jԅ)?   r6?    f"aG?D F\?D J??Dne?D7&?DL1#@FBM)@ Z7%@ w=ۓ#@ pjAW?Tm>?gaY? D4l2Keh-Rne"Vu{$0Nl 5!"#D$5%x&''()*++,-#./|0 1234Ā5x6h789:;5<=>? @C@`@@@ m'?  It;`?  gg? ) I? D D) .P? D D) _}w? D  D) 5i- i? D  D) ?? D D) l? D D) =kO? D D) CA? D D) !L ? D D) )d|? D D) BEb?? D !D)  mY ? D $D y /›$@  &(@  < %@  -\#@  2ya>?  hc8?   TC?" !Day 2"?ؘ@1@@"?#""0 LD~ ""at-@"""0DLDD"lP/@#""0DLD D"Bv&@#""0DLDD"/3?"""0-LL"u{v@"""u?#"#@H@ @@#no&*8M?#"#?$##0LD#?###0 -#sv\+@#"#GL+@$"#!"F$@$"#6ᔢ?#"#gc1?#"#b=v ?$"$@/@@@@$r).?%"$no&*8M?$#$?%$$0 LD$7&?$#$tħ)@ "$xHp' *@ "$zpN#@ "$v"@$"$C7w?$"$~eu?$"%@ؓ@H@$@%Ďv=?%"%݋D!?%#%r).?&$%7&?& D$D$%E@%#%^=(@%"%f!ĺ(@%"%9 #@%"%׾?%"%NH?%"%~k^?%"& @(@%@@&Qcp?&"&WB9?&#&FW*?&$&ne?'&&0 LD&7&?' D%&ܨ`$o @&#&V4j'@&"&?م&@&"&dU"@&"&|j?&"&!G7?&"&xt"/ޯ?&"'&@@@@@'=Z?'"' dI?'#'on_?'$'J??(&'ne?( ''0 LD' 7&?( ' '0 L'5|Z@'#'f< 1&@'"'=L%@'"'~DɞE!@'"'Y/<@'"'~e@'"'p5wĂ?'"(,@@0@P@(/?("(sXϬ?(#(}- ?($(F\?)&(J??) '( ne?) ' ( 7&?) ( (0 L(mh@(#(PR9%@("(Q_1e$@("(ߞ @("(u˳8?("(A@("({xؤ?(")1@@@@)A?)")|/-P2?)#),a0:?)$) f"aG?*&)F\?* ') J??* ' ) ne?* ( ) 7&?* ) )0 L)%@)#)X[ u$@)") }S#@)")υ5 @)")Z?)")Nf@)")ǕJ?)"*4@@@@@*8]?*"**⥨\?*#*eEf?*$*r6?+&* f"aG?+ '* F\?+ ' * J??+ ( * ne?+ ) * 7&?+ * *0 L*/Y@*#*ڌɑ#@*"*,"@*"*1.Z@*"* /{T?*"*u%?*"*F?*"+7@@@@+?+"+Ŗ?+#+J5?+$+jԅ)?,&+r6?, '+  f"aG?, ' + F\?, ( + J??, ) + ne?, * + 7&?,+ +0 L+i @+#+TqߎK#@+"+-3F"@+"+95@+"+R9=?+"+x×'?+"+Fpdl?+",:@P@@@,yGr?,",uZg?,#,ktr?,$,y du?-&,jԅ)?- ', r6?- ' ,  f"aG?- ( , F\?- ) , J??- * , ne?-+ ,7&?-D+ ,9]-@,#,VB"@,",xiy!@,", @,",#@?/?,",x龵?,",!bg>,"-=@"@!@@-$=&?-"-iVE3?-#-?-$-uK&?-&-y du?,'- jԅ)?+' - r6?*( -  f"aG?)) - F\?(* - J??'+ -ne?$D, -7&?.D,-mF. @-#-,Gzp"@-"-'/}:_!@-"-C{@-"-'^ᵨ?-"-9";?-"- ?.".@@$@@`@.7J0u ?."./Le?.#. c%?.$..I2?.&.uK&?. '. y du?. ' . jԅ)?. ( . r6?. ) .  f"aG?. * . F\?.+ .J??.D- .ne?.D-.7&?/D-.!-7!@.#.."@.".8B!@/".c@/".\i0M?.".0q$?.".[+S'|!@ "0FSc @ "0~72@ "0=@0"0msw ?0"0|~k@3"1next day 1S,0 ?1 DD%1"?1DD%1U!B8?1DD)1b:{?1DD)1Cy?1 DD)1 N??1 D D)1 ,B?1 D D)1 zEA?1 DD)1 K'aj ?1 DD)1 C`0?1DD)1Ʈ;?1DD)1P4,?1DD)1 Z?1DD)1p8y?1D!D)1+6?1D$D<1f @&%11 DDDD 2Day 33?@@@3?433A LD~ 33Ve0*#@33#3ADLDDD3nc;!@43#3ADLD DD3G4v@43#3ADLDDD3?mZ@333A-LL3}?333 hh:/?434@+@І@ @4no&*8M?434?544ALD!4?4 %3342v{j"@434T"!@534|s@534Yۭk2@434~X?4347Z*2V?535@Б@ @І@5r).?635no&*8M?545?655A LD57&?555A -5X?Х!@ 35X e @ 35 Z@ 35@yP@535@?535M^wp?536@@@@6Ďv=?636݋D!?646r).?7567&?7 D5D56E@656!@636IB{R @636CwX@636 B @636g?636mP"Јn?637 @#@@@7Qcp?737WB9?747FW*?757ne?877A LD77&?8 D67ܨ`$o @757l!@737`@7376w^@7373a?737BO %?737Կ;5?738&@P@@@8=Z?838 dI?848on_?858J??978ne?9 88A LD8 7&?9 8 8A L85|Z@858%*ݘ @838.h'@838']@838CJl?838o&K*D?8388>[#?839,@@@@9/?939sXϬ?949}- ?959F\?:79J??: 89 ne?: 8 9 7&?: 9 9A L9mh@959 Jq4 @939 B@939W=x@939;W"/FF?939@A?939"UG@8\@<3<(T@<3<G%?<3<K]?<3< ͦtr?<3=:@0@@@@=yGr?=3=uZg?=4=ktr?=5=y du?>7=jԅ)?> 8= r6?> 8 =  f"aG?> 9 = F\?> : = J??> ; = ne?>< =7&?>D< =9]-@=5=0IL@=3=s@=3=(+ @=3= ,F?=3=6kSg?=3=FS;N?=3>=@@@@>$=&?>3>iVE3?>4>?>5>uK&?>7>y du?=8> jԅ)?<8 > r6?;9 >  f"aG?:: > F\?9; > J??8< >ne?5D= >7&??D=>mF. @>5>ľ@>3>i~@>3>t@>3>ɉ[?>3>G`?>3> ??3?@@@@@?7J0u ??3?/Le??4? c%??5?.I2??7?uK&?? 8? y du?? 8 ? jԅ)?? 9 ? r6?? : ?  f"aG?? ; ? F\??< ?J???D> ?ne??D>?7&?@D>?!-7!@?5?f@wi@?3?+|'EK@@3?Ǝ@@3?kl??3?a71??3?T,2?@3D@ltou{$COm\{$COm@5ABCDD5ExF'GHIJK+LM#NO|P QRSTĀ@A@P@@`@@q ?@3@5c?@4@j_ɵ?@5@R/?@7@.I2?@ 8@ uK&?@ 8 @ y du?@ 9 @ jԅ)?@ : @ r6?@ ; @  f"aG?@< @F\?@D? @J??@D?@ne?@D?@7&?AD?@铄3"@@5@C6C@@3@]@A3@?@3@AB*?@3@A'$6D?A3A@C@@@@Am'?A3AIt;`?A4Agg?A5AI?A7A.P?A 8A .I2?A 8 A uK&?A 9 A y du?A : A jԅ)?A ; A r6?A< A f"aG?AD@ AF\?AD@AJ??AD@Ane?AD@A7&?AD@AM`##@A5AXn@ 3An@9B@ 3A88S'@ 3AUfێ?A3A򋓂?A3A7Cw*X?C3 BDay 4C?@І@@C?DCCQ LD~ CC] e)@DC(CQDLD D D DC~%b@DC(CQDLDDDDC7I@CC(CQDLDD D DCrr?CCCQ-LLCץb@?CCCIγ?DCD@ @@@Dno&*8M?DCD?EDDQLD!D?D %CCD[l}'@ECDA 4@ECDʦ)j@DCD ]?DCD1&yܱ?DCDZ) ?ECE@$@`@@Er).?ECEno&*8M?EDE?FEEQ LDE7&?EEEQ -E|e&@ CEIw\I@ CE#7!@ CE-xe@ECE5̃?ECE e2?ECF@$@@@FĎv=?FCF݋D!?FDFr).?FEF7&?G DEDEFE@FEF.&@FCFom@FCF@$r@FCF1 ?FCFF+vn?FCF>R?FCG @@@@GQcp?GCGWB9?GDGFW*?GEGne?GGGQ LDG7&?HDFGܨ`$o @GEGj2%@GCGA ftt@GCG,J @GCGj_@GCG+c?GCGW(RF?GCH&@@@@H=Z?HCH dI?HDHon_?HEHJ??HGHne?H HHQ LDH 7&?IH HQ LH5|Z@HEHN`4$@HCH ڜ@HCH¶YB@HCH("?HCH7j]?HCHNT?HCI,@!@@@I/?ICIsXϬ?IDI}- ?IEIF\?IGIJ??I HI ne?I H I 7&?JI IQ LImh@IEIlvwKx#@ICIKَF@ICIN1@ICIK2f?ICISkkJ?ICIa?ICJ1@"@@@JA?JCJ|/-P2?JDJ,a0:?JEJ f"aG?JGJF\?J HJ J??J H J ne?J I J 7&?KJ JQ LJ%@JEJb["@JCJԂ2G@JCJsl.e@JCJ o!?JCJwά?JCJ!E4h?JCK4@`@@@K8]?KCK*⥨\?KDKeEf?KEKr6?KGK f"aG?K HK F\?K H K J??K I K ne?K J K 7&?LK KQ LK/Y@KEK1b"@KCK7=@KCKG@KCKݗ2;?KCK6p?KCKlZBK?KCL7@@@@L?LCLŖ?LDLJ5?LELjԅ)?LGLr6?L HL  f"aG?L H L F\?L I L J??L J L ne?L K L 7&?ML LQ LLi @LELF!@LCLkv @LCLfLw@LCL\/?LCLV&?LCLZZH?LCM:@`@@@MyGr?MCMuZg?MDMktr?MEMy du?MGMjԅ)?M HM r6?M H M  f"aG?M I M F\?M J M J??M K M ne?ML M7&?NDL M9]-@MEMXu!@MCMMo/G@MCMf/ A@~t~(  B'"??30323   4 3QQ; Q34E4 3QQ; Q34E4 3QQ; Q34E4 3QQ; Q34E4 3QQ; Q34E4 3QQ; Q34E4D FAh ' 3O@k 3 #43*#! 4523  43" h 5k3Oh 4%3OQ44$%3O&Q4444  =$    "   Ů  dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$      dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$       dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$     %  dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$     E  dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$     e  dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$      dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$      dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$     ŷ  dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$      dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$       dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$     %  dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$     E  dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$     e  dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$      dMbP?_*+%&APage &P"ga??Sheet1U  =$   ,.BGB fBn`j gbJfp ` Г @0(H*Jf>`Dp//Hn/r//// N(@ O g `0RG .R Ќ(@fl=GLN^Nt NVH8$n<. &n~ gJFfp-@`Bp/p///H//././ NN(@ O g fp` . g$-GLN^NtNVH(n~ fp-@`